Challenges and Opportunities: Scaling UBI in Emerging Markets

By Heather Wilson


Challenges and Opportunities: Scaling UBI in Emerging Markets

Explainer

Introduction

Interest in Universal Basic Income (UBI) has surged across Asia-Pacific (APAC) and Latin America as policymakers seek tools to reduce poverty, address inequality and build shock-responsive social systems. This post examines growth patterns, infrastructure needs, communication tactics, regulatory frameworks and lessons for U.S. insurers adapting UBI-like models. Key questions include:
- What socioeconomic forces drive UBI adoption?
- Which technical and policy barriers must be overcome?
- How can stakeholders pilot, scale and adapt UBI initiatives?

UBI Growth Patterns and Success: APAC vs. Latin America

APAC Regional Trends

In APAC, UBI is explored as a strategic response to deepen human development and tackle multidimensional poverty (World Bank, 2020). Four main drivers propel interest:
- Automation and slowing globalization disrupting traditional employment paths.
- Rapid urbanization paired with ageing populations.
- Rising income inequality alongside overall GDP growth.
- Environmental challenges increasing human insecurity.

Latin America Implementation Status

Latin America still relies largely on conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs rather than true UBI systems. As of 2021, 32.3% of the population lived in poverty and 12.9% in extreme poverty[3]. CCTs benefit roughly 127 million across 20 countries, with Brazil’s Bolsa Família costing 0.5% of GDP annually. By contrast, economist Marcelo Neri estimates full UBI could require about 11% of GDP in Brazil.

Program Beneficiaries Annual Cost (% GDP)
Bolsa Família (CCT) ~127 million 0.5%
Full UBI (Brazil estimate) Universal adult cohort ~11%

Key Takeaways

  • APAC is piloting UBI-like schemes amid broader human-development agendas; Latin America favors proven CCT frameworks.
  • Financial viability and political feasibility tilt emerging economies toward targeted, conditional models over universal grants.

Infrastructure Requirements for UBI Delivery

Digital & Social Infrastructure Best Practices

Successful pilots highlight the need for robust digital systems: unique IDs, e-payment channels, and social registries. India’s Aadhaar and Unified Payments Interface (UPI) demonstrate how pre-existing digital foundations streamline beneficiary onboarding and payment delivery (World Bank, 2020). Inclusive access ensures rural and marginalized populations benefit equally.

Leveraging Existing Frameworks & Fintech

Social security databases can double as UBI beneficiary registries, reducing setup costs. Fintech and national payment platforms cut transaction fees, increase transparency and limit fund leakage. Emerging proposals for Web3/blockchain add programmability but demand parallel investments in digital ID and transaction infrastructure (Institute for Global Change, 2023).

Technical & Logistical Challenges

Countries face:
- Incomplete population registers and low last-mile connectivity.
- Limited digital literacy requiring outreach and training.
- Resistance from incumbent banks unsettled by new payment flows.
Case studies from India’s Direct Benefit Transfer and Kenya’s M-Pesa rollouts underscore both successes and the need for continuous system upgrades.

Country ID System Payment Platform Key Lesson
India Aadhaar UPI High-volume disbursement with minimal leakage
Kenya National IDs (partial coverage) M-Pesa Mobile transfers reach remote populations efficiently

Incremental “UBI+” Approaches

A blended “UBI+” model layers basic income atop existing social protections. Phased rollouts help test infrastructure, refine targeting and minimize system shocks, ensuring smoother scale-up in resource-constrained settings.

Consumer Education & Public Communication Strategies

APAC Initiatives

The United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) uses policy briefs and research reports to inform governments on UBI’s potential impact and design options (UNDP, 2020).

Latin America Approaches

The 1st Latin American Congress on Unconditional UBI convened policymakers, academics and civil society to debate UBI amid regional crises (Drexel University Center for Hunger-Free Communities, n.d.).

Barriers & Resistance

  • Economic concerns over high fiscal costs versus targeted welfare.
  • Ideological objections favoring conditional transfers over universal grants.

Effective Messaging & Transparency

Successful CCT programs highlight:
- Clear eligibility rules.
- Streamlined cash-card disbursement to “leapfrog bureaucracy.”
Framing UBI alongside complementary investments (education, health) can broaden support.

Outreach Programs

  • Digital campaigns and media op-eds explain program mechanics.
  • Regional policy forums and high-level commitments (e.g., foundational learning recovery pledges) build momentum and accountability (Bennett Institute for Public Policy, 2023).

Policy Integration in APAC

UNDP guidance stresses embedding UBI pilots within existing social security mechanisms and a phased scaling to accommodate fiscal constraints (UNDP, 2020).

Targeted vs. Universal Models

APAC pilots often target vulnerable groups (children, elderly, informal workers) for cost-effectiveness, whereas Latin America’s conditional models enforce human development outcomes (school attendance, vaccinations).

Financial & Implementation Hurdles

Full UBI can cost over 20× more than current CCTs, necessitating tax, pension and welfare reforms. Entrenched interests frequently resist such sweeping changes (Institute for Global Change, 2023).

Lessons from the COVID-19 Pandemic

The pandemic exposed coverage gaps for self-employed and informal workers, reinforcing calls for shock-responsive cash transfers and hybrid UBI+ designs to protect vulnerable cohorts.

Opportunities & Adaptation for U.S. Insurers

Actionable Lessons for Insurers

  • Consumer engagement: 62% of U.S. policyholders now prefer digital channels; rapid digital issuance can cut policy setup times by up to 30% (Feathery, 2025).
  • Digital infrastructure: 67% of insurers are accelerating AI, data analytics and cloud investments to enable personalized underwriting and claims automation (Fintech Global, 2025).
  • Policy advocacy: Insurers should promote regulatory sandboxes, data-privacy frameworks and consumer education on data use (PwC, 2025).

Piloting UBI-like Insurance Products

Usage-based insurance (UBI) models leverage telematics and health sensors to tailor premiums. Best practices include:
- Targeting tech-savvy segments willing to share data.
- Offering dynamic discounts and digital rewards for safe driving or healthy living.
- Ensuring transparent consumer communication on how behavior informs pricing (WoltersKluwer, 2025).

U.S. Regulatory & Socioeconomic Challenges

  • Fragmented state regulations demand tailored compliance strategies.
  • Strict privacy laws (CCPA, GLBA) and consumer mistrust require robust consent mechanisms.
  • Digital access disparities risk excluding lower-income policyholders; digital literacy initiatives are essential (Deloitte, 2025).
  • Cybersecurity threats grow as digital reliance increases; 69% of life insurers adopt blockchain for data protection (Feathery, 2025).

Strategic Recommendations

  • Launch localized pilot programs in receptive markets; iterate based on feedback.
  • Partner with fintechs and regulators to build interoperable, secure platforms.
  • Maintain transparent data practices to foster trust and drive adoption.

Conclusion

Scaling UBI in emerging markets demands balanced approaches that reconcile social ambitions with technical, fiscal and political realities. Comparative insights from APAC and Latin America underscore the importance of robust digital infrastructure, clear communication, adaptive regulatory frameworks and hybrid UBI+ models. U.S. insurers can draw parallels by piloting usage-based products, engaging consumers digitally and collaborating with regulators to shape data-driven, behavior-linked offerings—laying the groundwork for more inclusive social safety nets and insurance solutions.

References

Bennett Institute for Public Policy. (2023, December 5). UBI for UK. https://www.bennettinstitute.cam.ac.uk/blog/ubi-for-uk/

Deloitte. (2025). Insurance technology trends. https://www2.deloitte.com/us/en/pages/consulting/articles/insurance-technology-trends.html

Drexel University Center for Hunger-Free Communities. (n.d.). Universal Basic Income. https://drexel.edu/hunger-free-center/research/briefs-and-reports/universal-basic-income

Feathery. (2025, February 4). 32 insurance digital transformation trends. https://www.feathery.io/blog/32-insurance-digital-transformation-trends

Fintech Global. (2025, April 24). 74% of insurers are prioritising digital transformation and tech adoption in 2025. https://fintech.global/2025/04/24/74-of-insurers-are-prioritising-digital-transformation-and-tech-adoption-in-2025/

Institute for Global Change. (2023, March 10). Proposal: Web3-based universal basic income. https://institute.global/insights/tech-and-digitalisation/proposal-web3-based-universal-basic-income

PwC. (2025). Insurance in 2025. https://www.pwc.com/gx/en/industries/financial-services/publications/financial-services-in-2025/insurance-in-2025.html

World Bank. (2020). Exploring universal basic income: A guide to navigating concepts, evidence, and practices. https://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/993911574784667955/pdf/Exploring-Universal-Basic-Income-A-Guide-to-Navigating-Concepts-Evidence-and-Practices.pdf

WoltersKluwer. (2025, February 11). 2025 insurance tech trends: AI, big data and cautious adoption. https://www.wolterskluwer.com/en/expert-insights/2025-insurance-tech-trends-ai-big-data-and-cautious-adoption