New York Gives Auto Insurers Until Aug. 31 to Show Reform Savings in Rate Filings

Heather Wilson By


New York Gives Auto Insurers Until Aug. 31 to Show Reform Savings in Rate Filings

New York regulators handed auto insurers a hard deadline of August 31, 2026 to rewrite every pending rate filing and show exactly how much the state's new tort reforms will cut their claim costs. Carriers that skip the calculation will have their rate requests denied, the Department of Financial Services said.

The order arrived July 1 as Insurance Circular Letter No. 3 (2026), the first enforcement step behind the auto insurance overhaul Governor Kathy Hochul signed in late May. For the roughly 14 million licensed drivers in a state where full coverage runs past $4,000 a year, the guidance decides whether the reform package turns into an actual premium cut or a press release.

The News

DFS issued Circular Letter No. 3 on July 1, 2026, requiring every insurer writing auto coverage in New York to complete a new actuarial exhibit quantifying savings from the 2026 tort reforms. Pending filings must be amended by August 31. Acting Superintendent Kaitlin Asrow said filings that omit the projections will be denied. Hochul's office projects about $200 per vehicle per year, or $2 billion statewide, arriving over roughly two years.

Key Takeaways
  • August 31, 2026 is the deadline to amend all pending New York auto rate filings
  • New Exhibit TR-1, the Automobile Tort Reform Calculation, forces carriers to publish their math in SERFF
  • Prior approval on increases up to 5% does not begin until November 27, 2026
  • Projected relief: roughly 10% over two years, about $200 per car annually
  • State Farm CEO Jon Farney wants proof the savings are real before cutting New York rates

What DFS Actually Ordered

Circular Letter No. 3 addresses every insurer authorized to write motor vehicle coverage in New York, plus the New York Automobile Insurance Plan and rate service organizations. It ties directly to Chapter 55 of the Laws of 2026, signed May 27, and Chapter 58, signed May 26. Both statutes rewrote the Insurance Law, the Penal Law, and the Civil Practice Law and Rules at once.

The mechanical demand sits in a new SERFF exhibit. Exhibit TR-1, labeled the Automobile Tort Reform Calculation, requires each carrier to state the percentage decrease in anticipated claims and loss adjustment expenses caused by the reforms, then supply a complete explanation of how that percentage was derived, including the specific calculations, actuarial methodologies, and assumptions applied. DFS built the exhibit into its Rate Filing Sequence Checklist and gave carriers a questions inbox at [email protected].

Asrow was direct about the consequence of ignoring it.

"We're indicating to them if they don't incorporate those projections, then we will deny their request for rate," said Kaitlin Asrow, Acting Superintendent of the New York Department of Financial Services.

The Three Reforms Carriers Must Price In

Part EE of Chapter 58 did the heaviest lifting on claim costs, and it applies to any action commenced on or after May 26, 2026. It deleted the 90/180-day prong from the serious injury definition in Insurance Law 5102(d), the clause that let a non-permanent impairment qualify for pain-and-suffering damages if it disrupted daily activities for 90 of the 180 days after a crash. Trial sequencing changed too: a jury must now decide fault before it decides whether an injury is serious.

Part EE also added Insurance Law 5104(d), a $100,000 cap on non-economic damages for at-fault injured people who were driving uninsured with a lapse of 30 days or more, driving while impaired by alcohol or drugs and later convicted, or driving in the commission of a felony and later convicted. Death claims are exempt from the cap. A new CPLR 1411(b) bars recovery entirely when a claimant's culpable conduct exceeds that of the parties being sued, which aligns New York with 28 other states on modified comparative fault. We broke down the full statutory package in our coverage of the reforms enacted in the state budget.

Part F of Chapter 55 widened the Penal Law definition of a fraudulent insurance act to reach anyone who hires, requests, encourages, orchestrates, or invites another person to stage a crash. Prosecutors no longer have to build a case around the person behind the wheel. State officials estimate staged crashes alone add roughly $300 a year to every New York premium.

The Catch on Prior Approval

Headlines described the guidance as ending rate increases without state sign-off. The statute is narrower than that, and the timing matters for anyone renewing this fall.

Prior Approval Starts November 27, Not July 1

Part II of Chapter 55 amends Insurance Law 2350 to strip the flex-rating privilege that lets carriers push through overall average increases of up to 5% without the Superintendent's approval. That change takes effect November 27, 2026. Filings submitted before that date still run under the existing flex-rating rules in 11 NYCRR Part 163. Decreases of up to 5% keep flowing through without prior approval, which is deliberate: DFS wants cuts to move faster than hikes.

One more date is worth marking. Insurance Law 2350 is repealed outright on May 27, 2030, after which every nonbusiness auto rate filing in New York needs the Superintendent's prior approval, with no flex band at all.

What This Means for Your Premium

Asrow put the projected relief at roughly 10% arriving over about two years, worth an estimated $2 billion annually across New York drivers and businesses. Hochul's office has consistently used a floor of $200 per vehicle per year. Insurer trade groups pitched 15% to 20% during the budget fight, a figure no regulator has endorsed.

Coverage Tier Current Annual Premium At Hochul's $200 Floor At the 10% DFS Projection At the 15% Industry Estimate
New York state average, full coverage $4,000 $3,800 $3,600 $3,400
NYC boroughs, full coverage $5,500 $5,300 $4,950 $4,675
State minimum liability $1,776 $1,576 $1,598 $1,510

Baseline premiums reflect New York averages for full coverage (100/300 liability with collision and comprehensive) and state-minimum liability, drawn from Bankrate and Insurify 2026 state rate data for drivers with clean records and average or better credit. Savings columns apply the Hochul administration's May 2026 projection, the DFS 10% two-year estimate, and the insurer trade-group estimate to those baselines. Actual filings will vary by carrier, territory, and driver profile.

A Brooklyn or Queens driver paying $5,500 stands to gain the most in raw dollars, roughly $550 at the 10% projection. Compare that against what you pay today on our New York City rate breakdown, and check the statewide picture on our New York car insurance page. New York currently sits among the three most expensive states in the country, a ranking detailed in our roundup of the most expensive states for car insurance.

Carriers Are Not Rushing

State Farm, the largest personal auto writer in the country, signaled restraint weeks before the guidance landed. Chief Executive Jon Farney told reporters in June that the company wants evidence before it moves.

"We want some proof before we move too hard [or] too fast there." Jon Farney, State Farm CEO, on New York's auto insurance reforms.

That caution is not universal. State Farm Mutual has cut auto rates nationally by an average of about 10% over the past year, worth roughly $4.6 billion in annual premium, and is paying a $5 billion cash-back dividend averaging about $100 per vehicle this summer. Our State Farm auto insurance review covers how those national reductions filter down to individual policies. The distinction matters: national profitability is driving cuts elsewhere while New York carriers wait to see whether courts actually apply the narrowed serious injury standard.

Separately, the budget banned occupation, education level, homeownership status, and ZIP code as primary rating factors, a change we examined in our report on New York's ZIP code rating ban. Those provisions reshape who pays what, independent of the tort savings DFS is now demanding carriers quantify.

What You Should Do Now

Four Moves Before Your Next New York Renewal
1

Pull your declarations page and find the renewal date

Policies renewing after November 27, 2026 fall under the tighter prior-approval regime. Anything renewing in August, September, or October can still absorb a flex increase of up to 5% without DFS sign-off.

2

Ask your carrier whether it has amended its pending filing

Call the number on your card and ask directly whether the company submitted its Exhibit TR-1 tort reform calculation. Carriers that filed early are the ones most likely to price relief into 2026 renewals rather than 2027.

3

Check whether you were rated on a banned factor

Request the rating factors used on your current policy. If occupation, education, homeownership, or ZIP code shaped your premium, the budget provisions require that to change, and re-underwriting sometimes produces a bigger cut than the tort savings will.

4

Collect three competing quotes 30 days out

Carriers will not implement reform savings on the same schedule. Quote GEICO, Progressive, and a regional writer such as Erie or NYCM alongside your current insurer, because the first carrier to file its TR-1 gains a temporary price edge.

Looking Ahead

Watch SERFF filings after August 31. That is the first public evidence of what carriers themselves believe the reforms save, expressed as a single percentage each company must defend with actuarial detail. Rate relief historically lags statutory change by 6 to 18 months, so a July 2026 guidance letter realistically shows up on renewals between early 2027 and mid-2027.

The harder question is whether trial courts apply the new serious injury standard as narrowly as the legislature wrote it. Every claim filed on or after May 26, 2026 tests it. If judges continue certifying borderline soft-tissue claims as serious injuries, carriers will argue their TR-1 percentages were too optimistic and the projected $2 billion never materializes.

Frequently Asked Questions

When will New York drivers actually see lower premiums?

DFS Acting Superintendent Kaitlin Asrow estimated roughly 10% in savings over about two years. Carriers must amend pending filings by August 31, 2026, and rate changes typically reach renewal notices 6 to 18 months after approval, which points to 2027 for most policyholders.

Can my insurer still raise my New York rate this year?

Yes. The flex-rating rule allowing overall average increases of up to 5% without prior approval stays in force until November 27, 2026. After that date, every upward rate change requires the Superintendent's express prior approval, and Insurance Law 2350 is repealed entirely on May 27, 2030.

What is Exhibit TR-1?

Exhibit TR-1, the Automobile Tort Reform Calculation, is a new SERFF filing requirement. It obligates each insurer to state the percentage reduction in anticipated claims and loss adjustment expenses from the 2026 reforms and to document the calculations, methodologies, and assumptions behind that number.

Does the $100,000 damages cap apply to me if I am hit by another driver?

No. The cap in Insurance Law 5104(d) applies only to at-fault injured drivers who were uninsured with a lapse of 30 days or more, impaired by alcohol or drugs and convicted, or committing a felony and convicted. It does not apply to actions for injuries resulting in death.

Do I need to file anything to get the savings?

No consumer filing is required. The obligation falls on insurers through their rate filings with DFS. Your practical step is comparing quotes at renewal, since carriers will pass through reform savings on different timelines.